Osimhen could be back among the goals for a Napoli side keen to get back to winning ways after losing to Lazio before the hiatus, leaving Genoa to wait for their first home win since returning to the league.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
