There has only been one draw in the last 15 Serie A meetings between Lecce and Udinese at Via del Mare - and none since 2008 - but the evidence points to that outcome on this occasion: the Bianconeri are Italy's draw specialists, while their hosts are tough to beat on home turf.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
1.1) 
-1.26) 
