SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
44.38% ( 0.9) | 24.25% ( -0.59) | 31.36% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 58.95% ( 1.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.52% ( 2.54) | 43.48% ( -2.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.12% ( 2.45) | 65.87% ( -2.46) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% ( 1.45) | 19.76% ( -1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.2% ( 2.3) | 51.79% ( -2.31) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( 1.05) | 26.53% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.27% ( 1.36) | 61.73% ( -1.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.57)2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 2% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.05% Total : 44.38% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.23)0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.61)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.58)0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.18% Total : 31.36% |
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