While there is no doubt Napoli have ridden their luck at times since Calzona took charge, the new boss is picking up results, and they should go into that clash in Barcelona full of confidence with a third straight victory here.
Torino's feeble attack suggests they may struggle to threaten this Napoli side much, as their season is faltering just as their supporters were starting to get excited about a potential European push.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Torino had a probability of 24.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
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