While Juventus have lost all momentum are stuttering towards the end of another troubled season, distracted Roma may have one eye on turning their Europa League semi-final tie around. The hosts also have a woeful record against Italy's other top clubs, so Juve can record a fourth straight Serie A draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Roma had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.05) 
0.03) 
