After being shut out for the first time in 30 games, Milan should be back on the scoresheet against one of Serie A's leakiest defences. It would constitute an upset for this Sassuolo side to stop the Rossoneri leaving Reggio Emilia with maximum points, and such a feat is likely to prove beyond them.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
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