Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
