Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
