Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
0.59) 
-0.71) 
