Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 65.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Hannover had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Hannover win it was 1-2 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.