Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Hansa Rostock win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
-0.16) 
0.06) 
