SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Karlsruher SC | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
54.65% ( 0.25) | 22.87% ( -0.01) | 22.49% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 55.79% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.92% ( -0.21) | 44.08% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.54% ( -0.2) | 66.47% ( 0.21) |
| Karlsruher SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.96% ( 0.01) | 16.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.61% ( 0.02) | 45.39% ( -0.02) |
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.44% ( -0.32) | 33.56% ( 0.33) |
