Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 66.28%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Elversberg had a probability of 15.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Elversberg win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.02) 
