Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.
