Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.02) 
