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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
May 28, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Mercedes Benz Arena
HL

Stuttgart
3 - 2
Hamburger SV

Endo (47'), Gonzalez (60' pen.), Castro (90+2')
Badstuber (45'), Forster (80'), Castro (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pohjanpalo (16'), Hunt (45+2' pen.)
Vagnomann (78'), Hunt (88')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Hamburger SV.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawHamburger SV
46.2%24.44%29.36%
Both teams to score 57.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.67%45.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.33%67.66%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27%19.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.25%51.75%
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22%28.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.38%64.62%
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 46.2%
    Hamburger SV 29.36%
    Draw 24.43%
StuttgartDrawHamburger SV
2-1 @ 9.32%
1-0 @ 9.22%
2-0 @ 7.48%
3-1 @ 5.04%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 3.14%
4-1 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.64%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 46.2%
1-1 @ 11.47%
2-2 @ 5.8%
0-0 @ 5.68%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-1 @ 7.07%
0-2 @ 4.41%
1-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 1.83%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 29.36%


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