Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 65.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 14.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
0.99) 
-0.22) 
