SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | Lahti |
41.02% ( -0.03) | 26.09% ( -0.04) | 32.89% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.34% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.94% ( 0.16) | 51.05% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( 0.14) | 72.91% ( -0.14) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.41% ( 0.05) | 24.59% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.92% ( 0.08) | 59.08% ( -0.08) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% ( 0.12) | 29.27% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.76% ( 0.15) | 65.24% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | Lahti |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.01% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.89% |
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