SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Honka | 19 | 26 | 40 |
| 2 | KuPS | 19 | 18 | 40 |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 19 | 13 | 40 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 19 | 13 | 40 |
| 4 | Oulu | 19 | -1 | 28 |
| 5 | SJK | 19 | -2 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 67.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Oulu had a probability of 13.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Oulu win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Honka | Draw | Oulu |
67.79% ( 0.24) | 18.78% ( -0.09) | 13.43% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.43% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.07% ( 0.03) | 40.92% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.68% ( 0.03) | 63.31% ( -0.03) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.9% ( 0.07) | 11.09% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.52% ( 0.16) | 35.48% ( -0.16) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.85% ( -0.21) | 42.15% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.43% ( -0.18) | 78.56% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honka | Draw | Oulu |
| 2-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)Other @ 3.98% Total : 67.79% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 1% Total : 18.78% | 0-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.49% Total : 13.43% |
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