SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Honka had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Honka win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | Honka |
40.95% ( -0.03) | 27.13% ( 0) | 31.92% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.78% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.53% ( -0.01) | 55.46% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.35% ( -0.01) | 76.65% ( 0.01) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( -0.02) | 26.63% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.14% ( -0.03) | 61.86% ( 0.02) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% ( 0.01) | 32.15% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.37% ( 0.01) | 68.63% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | Honka |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.94% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.92% |
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