Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Haka had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Haka win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oulu would win this match.
Result | ||
Oulu | Draw | Haka |
41.78% ( 0.35) | 27% ( -0.17) | 31.21% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 49.91% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.82% ( 0.6) | 55.18% ( -0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.58% ( 0.5) | 76.42% ( -0.49) |
Oulu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.94% ( 0.47) | 26.06% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.9% ( 0.62) | 61.1% ( -0.62) |
Haka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.5% ( 0.19) | 32.5% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.97% ( 0.21) | 69.03% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Oulu | Draw | Haka |
1-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.21% Total : 41.77% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.22% |
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