SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
43.59% ( 0.83) | 25.86% ( 0.16) | 30.54% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 53.14% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.11% ( -1.04) | 50.89% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.23% ( -0.92) | 72.77% ( 0.92) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( -0.05) | 23.23% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.86% ( -0.07) | 57.14% ( 0.08) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.23% ( -1.2) | 30.77% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.96% ( -1.44) | 67.04% ( 1.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.03% Total : 43.59% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.55% |
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