Newcastle Jets
3 - 0
Wellington

Fitzgerald (45'), Ibini-Isei (76'), Hoffman (79')
Boogaard (22'), Topor-Stanley (42'), Koutroumbis (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

DeVere (9')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
44.86%	23.98%	31.16%

Both teams to score 59.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.69%

42.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.28%

64.71%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.92%

19.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.31%

50.68%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.91%

26.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.86%

61.13%

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 44.86%

Wellington Phoenix 31.16%

Draw 23.97%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.18% 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 5.07% 3-0 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.3% Total : 44.86%	1-1 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.97%	1-2 @ 7.44% 0-1 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.37% Total : 31.16%