Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.