Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
