Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
