SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Western Sydney Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
41.33% ( -0.01) | 24.21% ( 0.1) | 34.46% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 60.26% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.74% ( -0.51) | 42.26% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.34% ( -0.52) | 64.66% ( 0.52) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% ( -0.22) | 20.61% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.84% ( -0.35) | 53.15% ( 0.35) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.9% ( -0.29) | 24.1% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.61% ( -0.42) | 58.39% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 41.33% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.46% |
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