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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Western United had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Sydney FC |
33.67% ( 0.66) | 23.77% ( 0.25) | 42.56% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 61.62% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.61% ( -0.98) | 40.39% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.24% ( -1.02) | 62.77% ( 1.03) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.33% ( -0.09) | 23.67% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.23% ( -0.13) | 57.77% ( 0.14) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.72% ( -0.78) | 19.28% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.99% ( -1.31) | 51.01% ( 1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.28)2-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.67% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.3% Total : 42.56% |
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