Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Sepahan had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.18%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Sepahan win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Duhail would win this match.