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AFC Champions League | Round of 16
Feb 20, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Fahd Stadium

Al-Hilal
3 - 1
Shabab Al-Ahli

Ighalo (17'), Jang (73'), Vietto (79')
Abdul Hamid (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Khribin (86')
Khribin (46'), Naser (81')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Al-Hilal and Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Real Madrid 5-3 Al-Hilal
Saturday, February 11 at 7pm in Club World Cup
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Last Game: Foolad 1-1 Shabab Al-Ahli
Tuesday, April 26 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawShabab Al-Ahli Dubai
50.15% (0.126 0.13) 24.91% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 24.93% (-0.093 -0.09)
Both teams to score 52.05% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61% (0.063000000000002 0.06)50.38% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.67% (0.055999999999997 0.06)72.32% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (0.076000000000008 0.08)20.1% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.65% (0.124 0.12)52.34% (-0.124 -0.12)
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.14% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)34.85% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.41% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)71.59% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 50.15%
    Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 24.93%
    Draw 24.9%
Al-HilalDrawShabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.08% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.82% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 50.15%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.38% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 24.93%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-3 Al-Hilal
Saturday, February 11 at 7pm in Club World Cup
Last Game: Flamengo 2-3 Al-Hilal
Tuesday, February 7 at 7pm in Club World Cup
Last Game: Wydad 1-1 Al-Hilal (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Club World Cup
Last Game: Al-Hilal 0-5 Newcastle
Thursday, December 8 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Al-Hilal 0-2 Al-Rayyan
Wednesday, April 27 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Sharjah 2-2 Al-Hilal
Saturday, April 23 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Foolad 1-1 Shabab Al-Ahli
Tuesday, April 26 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Shabab Al-Ahli 2-1 Ahal
Friday, April 22 at 6.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Shabab Al-Ahli 8-2 Al Gharafa
Monday, April 18 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Gharafa 1-1 Shabab Al-Ahli
Thursday, April 14 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Shabab Al-Ahli 1-1 Foolad
Sunday, April 10 at 6.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Ahal 1-1 Shabab Al-Ahli
Thursday, April 7 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League


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