SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ulsan Hyundai win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ulsan Hyundai win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest BG Pathum United win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ulsan Hyundai would win this match.
| Result | ||
| BG Pathum United | Draw | Ulsan Hyundai |
31.86% ( -0.11) | 24.16% ( -0.13) | 43.98% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 59.52% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.15% ( 0.57) | 42.84% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.75% ( 0.57) | 65.24% ( -0.57) |
| BG Pathum United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% ( 0.21) | 25.91% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.1% ( 0.28) | 60.9% ( -0.28) |
| Ulsan Hyundai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.32% ( 0.34) | 19.67% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.34% ( 0.55) | 51.65% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| BG Pathum United | Draw | Ulsan Hyundai |
| 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.86% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.93% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.1% Total : 43.98% |
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