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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2023 at 1pm UK
Thammasat Stadium (Pathum Thani)

Bangkok Utd
3 - 2
Jeonbuk

Poomchantuek (26'), Ahn (58' og.), Mota Inacio (82')
Notchaiya (49'), Puangjan (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Limwanasthian (19' og.), Seon-min (88')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Bangkok United and Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Lion City 1-2 Bangkok Utd
Wednesday, September 20 at 1pm in AFC Champions League
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Last Game: Jeonbuk 2-1 Kitchee
Wednesday, September 20 at 11am in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangkok United win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bangkok United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bangkok United would win this match.

Result
Bangkok UnitedDrawJeonbuk Hyundai Motors
45.96% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 25.8% (-0.041 -0.04) 28.25% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.04% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.29% (0.141 0.14)51.71% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.51% (0.122 0.12)73.49% (-0.121 -0.12)
Bangkok United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (0.101 0.1)22.47% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (0.148 0.15)56.02% (-0.147 -0.15)
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12% (0.039000000000001 0.04)32.88% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.55% (0.045999999999999 0.05)69.45% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bangkok United 45.95%
    Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 28.25%
    Draw 25.8%
Bangkok UnitedDrawJeonbuk Hyundai Motors
1-0 @ 11.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.1% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 45.95%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.39% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.0059999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 28.25%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Lion City 1-2 Bangkok Utd
Wednesday, September 20 at 1pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Bangkok Utd 0-1 Ha Noi
Tuesday, February 12 at 12pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Jeonbuk 2-1 Kitchee
Wednesday, September 20 at 11am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Jeonbuk 0-3 PSG
Thursday, August 3 at 9am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Jeonbuk 2-2 Urawa (1-3 pen.)
Thursday, August 25 at 11.30am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-3 Jeonbuk
Monday, August 22 at 8am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Daegu 1-2 Jeonbuk
Thursday, August 18 at 9am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Jeonbuk 1-1 Yokohama
Sunday, May 1 at 3pm in AFC Champions League


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