Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Lion City Sailors had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Lion City Sailors win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
