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AFC Champions League | Round of 16
Sep 14, 2021 at 4pm UK
 

Istiqlol Dushanbe
0 - 1
Persepolis


Safarov (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Torabi (90')
Faraji (19'), Sarlak (79')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Istiqlol Dushanbe and Persepolis.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istiqlol Dushanbe win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Persepolis had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Persepolis win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Istiqlol DushanbeDrawPersepolis
42.07%23.44%34.49%
Both teams to score 63.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.48%38.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.19%60.81%
Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.29%18.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.93%50.07%
Persepolis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66%22.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18%55.82%
Score Analysis
    Istiqlol Dushanbe 42.07%
    Persepolis 34.49%
    Draw 23.44%
Istiqlol DushanbeDrawPersepolis
2-1 @ 8.8%
1-0 @ 7.01%
2-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 4.92%
3-2 @ 3.68%
3-0 @ 3.28%
4-1 @ 2.06%
4-2 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 42.07%
1-1 @ 10.5%
2-2 @ 6.59%
0-0 @ 4.18%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 7.87%
0-1 @ 6.27%
0-2 @ 4.7%
1-3 @ 3.93%
2-3 @ 3.3%
0-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.47%
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 34.49%

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