SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.2%. A win for Buriram United had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Buriram United win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Buriram United |
56.2% ( -0.06) | 21.21% ( -0) | 22.59% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 61.74% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.7% ( 0.08) | 36.29% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.58% ( 0.08) | 58.42% ( -0.09) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.11% ( 0.01) | 12.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.71% ( 0.01) | 39.29% ( -0.02) |
| Buriram United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.87% ( 0.09) | 29.13% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.94% ( 0.12) | 65.05% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Buriram United |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.4% 4-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.39% 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 4.02% Total : 56.2% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3.21% Total : 22.59% |
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