Nagoya Grampus
4 - 2
Daegu

Swierczok (12', 63', 65'), Nakatani (79')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Cesinha (4'), Silva (28')
Hwang (38'), An (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Nagoya Grampus and Daegu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for Daegu had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.46%) and 1-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Daegu win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Daegu
50.95%	21.6%	27.45%

Both teams to score 65.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.82%

33.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.07%

54.93%

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.58%

13.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.62%

40.37%

Daegu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.14%

23.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.96%

58.04%

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 50.95%

Daegu 27.45%

Draw 21.6%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Daegu
2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 6.46% 1-0 @ 6.43% 3-1 @ 6.2% 3-2 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 4.32% 4-1 @ 3.11% 4-2 @ 2.23% 4-0 @ 2.17% 5-1 @ 1.25% 4-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 4.03% Total : 50.95%	1-1 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 3.2% 3-3 @ 2.12% Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.6%	1-2 @ 6.6% 0-1 @ 4.59% 0-2 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 1.14% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.81% Total : 27.45%