SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Incheon United had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Incheon United win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Incheon United |
60.44% ( 0.07) | 21.95% ( -0.05) | 17.6% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.8% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.19% ( 0.2) | 46.81% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.93% ( 0.19) | 69.07% ( -0.19) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.96% ( 0.09) | 15.04% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.46% ( 0.17) | 43.54% ( -0.17) |
| Incheon United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.8% ( 0.1) | 40.2% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.16% ( 0.09) | 76.84% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Incheon United |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 60.44% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.95% | 0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.76% 0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 17.6% |
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