Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 16.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
-0.2) 
0.04) 
