SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 14.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.86%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.26%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Congo DR | Draw | Mauritania |
57.03% ( -0.16) | 28.33% ( 0.16) | 14.63% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 30.52% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.07% ( -0.36) | 70.93% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.18% ( -0.22) | 87.82% ( 0.22) |
| Congo DR Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( -0.24) | 25.98% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39% ( -0.33) | 61% ( 0.32) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.23% ( -0.22) | 58.76% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.99% ( -0.12) | 90% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Congo DR | Draw | Mauritania |
| 1-0 @ 20.57% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 13.86% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 57.02% | 0-0 @ 15.26% ( 0.19) 1-1 @ 10.94% 2-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0)Other @ 1.45% Total : 14.63% |
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