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Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Konkola Stadium
TN

Zambia
1 - 1
Tanzania

Daka (88')
Kabwe (33'), Grant (45+2'), Banda (45+1')
Kabwe (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Msuva (11')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Congo DR 1-1 Zambia
Wednesday, January 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Morocco 3-0 Tanzania
Wednesday, January 17 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Zambia 1-0 Tanzania

While Zambia were far from impressive in attack in their first match, their defensive solidity was commendable, and they will likely prioritise keeping a clean sheet in this match against a Tanzania attack that lacks genuine firepower. This has the feel of a low-scoring, tactical match, and we feel that the first goal will likely end up being the winner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 64%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 14.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
ZambiaDrawTanzania
64% (0.122 0.12) 21.41% (-0.073 -0.07) 14.59% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 45.99% (0.102 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18% (0.202 0.2)49.81% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18% (0.181 0.18)71.81% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.1% (0.10600000000001 0.11)14.9% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.74% (0.199 0.2)43.26% (-0.196 -0.2)
Tanzania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.04% (0.055 0.05)45.95% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.31% (0.042000000000002 0.04)81.68% (-0.038999999999987 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Zambia 63.98%
    Tanzania 14.59%
    Draw 21.4%
ZambiaDrawTanzania
1-0 @ 13.03% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 12.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.88% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.75% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.43% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 63.98%
1-1 @ 10.13% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.75% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 21.4%
0-1 @ 5.32% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.02%
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 14.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Congo DR 1-1 Zambia
Wednesday, January 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Zambia 1-1 Cameroon
Tuesday, January 9 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Niger 2-1 Zambia
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Zambia 4-2 Congo
Friday, November 17 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Zambia 3-0 Uganda
Tuesday, October 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Egypt 1-0 Zambia
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Morocco 3-0 Tanzania
Wednesday, January 17 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Tanzania
Sunday, January 7 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Tanzania 0-2 Morocco
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Niger 0-1 Tanzania
Saturday, November 18 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Sudan 1-1 Tanzania
Sunday, October 15 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Algeria 0-0 Tanzania
Thursday, September 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


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