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African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 16, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Omnisport Ahmadou Ahidjo
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Cameroon
1 - 0
Congo

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bassinga (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Cameroon 1-0 Brazil
Friday, December 2 at 7pm in World Cup
All competitions
Last Game: Congo 1-0 Gambia
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Cameroon 1-0 Congo

Cameroon and Congo have developed a knack for playing out low-scoring affairs, so we expect another one here. That said, we also fancy Cameroon to just about come away with three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 70.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Congo had a probability of 10.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.48%) and 3-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Congo win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cameroon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Cameroon.

Result
CameroonDrawCongo
70.61% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 19.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 10.17% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 39.77% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.06% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)50.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)72.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Cameroon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.77% (0.007000000000005 0.01)13.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.02% (0.012 0.01)39.97% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Congo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.83% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)54.16% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)87.37% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cameroon 70.6%
    Congo 10.17%
    Draw 19.21%
CameroonDrawCongo
2-0 @ 14.65%
1-0 @ 14.48%
3-0 @ 9.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.06%
4-0 @ 5% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.86%
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 70.6%
1-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 7.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 2.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 19.21%
0-1 @ 4.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 2.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 10.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cameroon 1-0 Brazil
Friday, December 2 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Cameroon 3-3 Serbia
Monday, November 28 at 10am in World Cup
Last Game: Switzerland 1-0 Cameroon
Thursday, November 24 at 10am in World Cup
Last Game: Cameroon 1-1 Panama
Friday, November 18 at 10am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Cameroon 1-1 Jamaica
Wednesday, November 9 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Korea 1-0 Cameroon
Tuesday, September 27 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Congo 1-0 Gambia
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mali 4-0 Congo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sierra Leone 1-2 Congo
Tuesday, March 29 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Zambia 3-1 Congo
Friday, March 25 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Senegal 2-0 Congo
Sunday, November 14 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Congo 1-1 Namibia
Thursday, November 11 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa


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