SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 61.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Varnamo |
61.81% ( 0.04) | 20.11% ( -0.02) | 18.07% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.04% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.3% ( 0.03) | 37.69% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.06% ( 0.03) | 59.93% ( -0.04) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.25% ( 0.02) | 11.73% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.11% ( 0.05) | 36.88% ( -0.05) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.76% ( -0.01) | 34.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.06% ( -0.01) | 70.92% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | Varnamo |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.22% 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.06% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 4.21% Total : 61.81% | 1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.11% | 1-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 18.07% |
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