SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Djurgardens IF | 22 | 27 | 45 |
| 2 | Hacken | 21 | 20 | 43 |
| 3 | AIK Fotboll | 21 | 10 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | AIK Fotboll | 21 | 10 | 39 |
| 4 | Hammarby | 21 | 22 | 38 |
| 5 | Malmo | 22 | 9 | 37 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.11%) and 0-2 (5.23%). The likeliest Hacken win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hacken | Draw | Hammarby |
36.63% ( 1.14) | 22.87% ( 0.32) | 40.5% ( -1.46) |
| Both teams to score 65.75% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.72% ( -1.46) | 35.29% ( 1.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.7% ( -1.64) | 57.31% ( 1.64) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.22% ( -0.1) | 19.78% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.17% ( -0.17) | 51.84% ( 0.17) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% ( -1.21) | 18.04% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.07% ( -2.11) | 48.94% ( 2.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hacken | Draw | Hammarby |
| 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.4)2-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.28% Total : 36.63% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.19)2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.11)3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.99% Total : 40.5% |
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