SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 52.88%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.01%) and 1-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hacken | Draw | Kalmar |
52.88% ( -0.3) | 21.55% ( 0.12) | 25.58% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 64.24% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.39% ( -0.38) | 34.61% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.45% ( -0.43) | 56.55% ( 0.43) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.68% ( -0.22) | 13.32% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.83% ( -0.45) | 40.17% ( 0.45) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( -0.07) | 25.89% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.13% ( -0.1) | 60.87% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hacken | Draw | Kalmar |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.11% Total : 52.88% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.55% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 25.58% |
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