Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.

Result
Hammarby	Draw	Kalmar
40.32% ( -0.75)	24.87% ( -0.05)	34.81% ( 0.8)

Both teams to score 57.97% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.73% (

0.38)

45.27% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.39% (

0.36)

67.61% (

-0.36)

Hammarby Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62% (

-0.2)

22.38% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.12% (

-0.31)

55.88% (

0.31)

Kalmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.69% (

0.65)

25.31% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.92% (

0.88)

60.08% (

-0.88)

Score Analysis

Hammarby 40.32%

Kalmar 34.81%

Draw 24.87%

Hammarby	Draw	Kalmar
2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.32%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87%	1-2 @ 8% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.81%