SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 60.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a IFK Goteborg win it was 1-0 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Goteborg | Draw | Malmo |
17.89% ( -0.6) | 21.22% ( -0.27) | 60.89% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 53.78% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.87% ( 0.21) | 43.13% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.47% ( 0.21) | 65.53% ( -0.21) |
| IFK Goteborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.32% ( -0.55) | 37.68% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.54% ( -0.54) | 74.46% ( 0.54) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.3% ( 0.33) | 13.7% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.07% ( 0.66) | 40.93% ( -0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Goteborg | Draw | Malmo |
| 1-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.34% Total : 17.89% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.21% | 0-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.19% ( 0.15)1-2 @ 9.95% 0-3 @ 6.76% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 6.6% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 3.36% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 3.28% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.34% ( 0.07)1-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.03% Total : 60.88% |
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