Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 86.13%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Sundsvall had a probability of 3.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.74%) and 4-0 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.74%), while for a Sundsvall win it was 0-1 (1.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
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