SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 48.13%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Sirius win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | Kalmar |
28.2% ( 0.13) | 23.67% ( -0.02) | 48.13% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 59% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.45% ( 0.19) | 42.55% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.05% ( 0.19) | 64.95% ( -0.19) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.82% ( 0.19) | 28.17% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.14% ( 0.24) | 63.86% ( -0.24) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( 0.03) | 17.85% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.39% ( 0.05) | 48.61% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | Kalmar |
| 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 28.2% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.34% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.71% Total : 48.13% |
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