SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
54.64% ( -0.55) | 26.52% ( 0.07) | 18.84% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 40.38% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.14% ( 0.28) | 61.86% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.37% ( 0.2) | 81.63% ( -0.2) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.08% ( -0.12) | 22.92% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.32% ( -0.17) | 56.68% ( 0.17) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.39% ( 0.74) | 47.61% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.06% ( 0.55) | 82.94% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 16.07% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.2)2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 54.63% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.42% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.21% Total : 18.84% |
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