SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 35.8%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.17%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (12.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Belgrano in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Belgrano |
34.19% ( -0.01) | 30% ( -0.01) | 35.8% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.11% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.87% ( 0.02) | 65.13% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.02% ( 0.01) | 83.98% ( -0.01) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.34% | 35.65% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.57% ( 0) | 72.42% ( -0) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.44% ( 0.02) | 34.56% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.72% ( 0.02) | 71.27% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.96% 2-0 @ 6.55% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 34.19% | 1-1 @ 13.5% 0-0 @ 12.32% 2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0)Other @ 0.48% Total : 30% | 0-1 @ 13.09% 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.96% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.8% |
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